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PHASE 1:
The 200,000 Russian forces to secure Ukraine is not enough.
This is because the Ukrainians are not fighting a set-piece battle where Russia's greater firepower would easily overwhelm the Ukrainians, IN SPECIFIC SET PIECE LOCATIONS.
To make matters worse, Stalin promoted the ideas of his best buddy in the absence of Tukhachevsky...Semyon Mikhailovich Budyonny[1] (Russian: Семён Миха́йлович Будённый).'Budyonny was a staunch proponent of horse cavalry. During the Great Purge, he testified against Mikhail Tukhachevsky's efforts to create an independent tank corps, claiming that it was so inferior to cavalry and illogical that it amounted to "wrecking" (sabotage). After being told of the importance of the tank in the coming war in 1939, he remarked, "You won't convince me. As soon as war is declared, everyone will shout, "Send for the Cavalry!"[2]'
The Ukrainians are not going to offer set-piece battles against Russia, they are not dumb. The only set-piece battles are going to be in the big cities of metropolitan Kyiv 4,000,000 (with half the population gone--Berlin 1945) Kharkiv and Lviv, which should be occupied during PHASE 3, last.
Battle of Belin
Total strength SOVIET FORCES:
2,300,000 soldiers (155,900–200,000
Polish People's Army)[1][2]
6,250 tanks and SP guns[2]
7,500 aircraft[2]
41,600 artillery pieces.[3][4]
For the investment and assault on the Berlin Defence Area: about 1,500,000 soldiers[5]
Archival research of SOVIET LOSSES
(operational total)
81,116 dead or missing[10]
280,251 sick or wounded
1,997 tanks and SPGs destroyed[11]
2,108 artillery pieces
917 aircraft[11
I'm sure despite NATO/AMERICAN EMPIRE supply, there are not the quality tough 36 German battle-hardened divisions defending Berlin/Kyiv. But the scale of the operation of this huge city and Kharkiv and Lviv should not be underestimated.
So, the Russian armed forces need new tactics quickly for Ukraine.
500,000 will be needed for Phase 1 to secure Ukraine.
Unlike the 9 YEAR AFGHANISTAN OPERATION, the Pak/Afghan border needed to be secured completely---2700 km.........very difficult with 100,000 troops, but the Romania, Hungary, Slovakia and Polish borders need to be COMPLETELY SEALED in Phase one.......otherwise it is endless fighting with NATO/AMERICAN EMPIRE WEAPONS.