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The usual nations involved in the destabilization of the Shah (USA, Israel, UK), and his replacement by the Ayatollah mullah's are also involved in Egypt's (and else where......Libya, Tunisia, Syria) destabilization, the over throw of Mubarak...........instability, chaos, economic slum ....and the Muslim Brotherhood in the ascendancy.
Unlike the 1977---79 Iran Revolution, the Muslim Brotherhood, though very visible in the protests against Mubarak aren't at the center of the revolution.
Through elections, through their organizational zeal, and Western backing the Muslim Brotherhood could eventually come to power in Egypt.
The Mullahs of Iran after all assumed absolute power only in 1982, after purging the country of the Tudeh left front. Between 1979--1982 Iran was a coalition government. It was the Tudeh left front which played the greatest role in toppling the Shah of Iran in 1979........and it is the urban Middle Class nihilists of Egypt who were at the fore front of protests against Mubarak, AND the American trained and bought Egyptian military which actually toppled the Mubarak regime on the orders and directions of Washington.
The future bodes ill for Egypt.
Mubarak should not have been toppled like that, at such a time. Mubarak had faults and he was attempting through his family to establish a pharaoh dynasty. But a nation should never carry out revolutions just because well organized urban Middle Class nihilists want it.............and Washington sanctions it, through the Presidents speech.
There will come a day in the future when Egyptians will ruefully look back to the stable years of Mubarak.....just as many Iranians ruefully look back to the stable prosperous years of the Shah of Iran.
When the Muslim Brotherhood comes to power in Egypt eventually:
1. The Suez will be occupied. Egypt with its American trained officers, and supplied arms will never be able to resist Israel/USA/NATO.
2. Sectarian violence will increase, and the country divided as with Sudan.
3. Egypt under the control of the Muslim Brotherhood as with mullah Iran will become a pariah state.
4. Economic chaos will continue with massive refugee flights from Egypt to the Persian Gulf and Europe (especially of middle class technical skill based groups, as with Mullah Iran 4 million Iranians live abroad, mostly middle class......800,000 unofficially in the USA).
Revolutions with nice English soundbites and slogans written in Washington are good if at the end of it you get a perfect leadership, under a perfect political organization, which perfectly addresses ALL the grievances of the protesters in short order.
This is clearly not the case with Egypt NOW or any time soon........shame on the Egyptian military.
"al-Qaeda" has announced their new leader, and he is from the Egyptian military (how appropriate)
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Egypt by Desertman On 27 May 2011, the New York Times has an article entitled:
Egypt’s Next Crisis
In this article we read about a political meeting, in the town of Kafr Shukr, where a chicken farmer named Ayman Dahroug declares: "The truth is, there are no leaders in Kafr Shukr anymore. "It’s only the Muslim Brotherhood that works here now. "They are in Kafr Shukr every day."
The Muslim Brotherhood buy imported meat at a discount and sell it to the poor in
the town.
According to the New York Times article:
"Egypt is in the agony of self-discovery... "Other Arab revolutions founder or lapse into civil wars... "(In Egypt) workers are striking throughout the country... "Many ... warn of a possible takeover by Islamists, who could assume power through the ballot box only to impose an Iran-style theocracy.
"These fears are not groundless; there are certainly people, in Egypt and elsewhere in the Arab world, who do not want to see a popular revolution succeed...
"With Egypt’s economy in free fall, they are rightly anxious that mass hunger, rising inflation and joblessness among Egypt’s 83 million people could imperil everything they have achieved so far. "Already, there are signs of slippage: a street battle in a Cairo slum on May 7, sparked by sectarian rumors, left a dozen dead and two churches in flames.
"Street crime and prison breaks are on the rise...
"A welter of Islamic groups has emerged since the revolution, many of them previously living in shadows. "One of the best known is the Islamic Group, the militant faction responsible for terrorist campaigns in the 1980s and 1990s that killed hundreds of police, soldiers, civilians and foreign tourists in Egypt... "One of the most common slogans in Tahrir Square during the revolution was 'bread, freedom, social justice'...
Mullah Iran still buying arms from ISRAEL, via Spain, Europe, and Turkey.
"It is tragic," I was told by Osama Leheta, an owner of one of Egypt’s oldest tourism companies. "Production in Egypt has come to a near-standstill.
"Foreign reserves are being depleted.
"Our currency is under extreme pressure.
"You could have millions of Egyptians with no food, and they will demolish everything in their path... "Inflation is soaring to levels not seen in years. The results are going to be catastrophic..."
(American aid will not solve this long term structural problem of a revolution which aims to bring Islamists into power, after which fact the aid will presumably stop from the G8)
According to the New York Times article: "The challenge of fighting corruption will remain... "If police officers and civil servants continue to receive wages far too low to support a family, they will continue to demand kickbacks and bribes, and the societywide corruption that helped trigger the revolt will go on. ~~
Most of the media has lied about Mubarak. So, God bless the Kansas City Star for giving us the truth! On 11 February 2011, an article at the Kansas City Star, by top economist Keith Marsden (Egypt Inc. -- a look at the numbers), told us the following:
1. The protestors claimed that '40% of Egyptians' live below the poverty line. The truth is that less than 2% of Egyptians live below the poverty line. Compare that with 41.6% in India. (The 'poverty line' is that which is recognised internationally/UN)
2. The share in wealth of the poorest section of society has been increasing in Egypt. Total household consumption expenditure per capita (in constant prices) rose by 2.2% annually in Egypt from 2000-08.
3. Higher incomes, improved nutrition and better health services have helped to raise the average life expectancy at birth in Egypt to 70 years in 2008.
4. The under-five child mortality rate (per 1000) dropped to 25 in Egypt in 2008, from 53 in 1990. Compare that with 89 in Pakistan, 69 in India, and 67 in South Africa.
5. The maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births) was estimated to be 130 in Egypt in 2005, compared with 1,000 in Nigeria. Egypt spent 6.3% of its GDP on health services in 2007 (Pakistan 2.7%).
6. The net enrollment rate for primary education rose to 94% in Egypt in 2008 (Pakistan 66%).
7. The World Bank reports an enrollment rate at the tertiary level (university and college) in Egypt of 35% in 2007 (South Africa 15%, India 12%, Pakistan 5%).
8. The most recent World Bank data show an economy-wide unemployment rate of 8.7% of the Egyptian labor force. (South Africa 22.9%).
9. Mubarak's Egypt boosted investment. Egypt’s 'gross capital formation' soared by 7.4% annually from 2000-2008 (Israel 2.3%). An improved business environment, including a low corporate tax rate of 20% stimulated foreign direct (private) investment. Egypt’s Inflows rose to 9.5 billion dollars in 2008 from 0.6 billion dollars in 1995. Egypt’s stock market capitalization was valued at 91 billion dollars in 2009, a more than threefold increase from the year 2000.
10. Egypt’s merchandise exports increased more than seven fold from 1990 to 2007. Inbound tourists spent 12.1 billion dollars in Egypt in 2008. The benefits were widely spread among the Egyptian people in the form of more jobs and higher incomes.
11. Egypt gets relatively little in foreign aid. The net inflow of foreign official development assistance (ODA) to Egypt has fallen from 1.3% of Egypt’s Gross National Income in the year 2000 to 0.8% in 2008. Egypt has been getting nothing from bodies such as the IMF and World bank.
(The total net official financial flows to Egypt from bilateral sources, the international financial institutions (such as the IMF and World Bank) and the United Nations have turned negative.
Repayments of principal exceed disbursements. Egypt’s net outflows to bilateral sources reached 960 million dollars in 2008, topping its 118 million net inflows from multilateral sources.)
12. Egypt’s total military expenditure amounted to 2.3% of GDP in 2008 ( Israel 8.0%), down from 3.2% in 2000.
Keith Marsden has worked as an economist for the UN, the World Bank and the private sector in over 60 countries, including two years in Egypt.
Reportedly, the CIA and Mossad were planning a coup in Egypt at least as early as 2008.
aangirfan's list of blogposts on the topic:
CIA PLOTS IN EGYPT
EGYPTIAN PSY OP
PRO-MUBARAK
ANOTHER CIA COUP IN EGYPT?
EGYPTIANS WORKING FOR THE CIA-MOSSAD-NATO?
PIPER & SCHOENMAN; TRUTH & LIES ON EGYPT
MUBARAK OPPOSED USA'S 'GREATER MIDDLE EAST'
CIA AND MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD VERSUS MUBARAK
AFTER EGYPTIAN COUP - ISRAEL INVADES?
EGYPT RIOTS GOOD FOR USA
WINNERS AND LOSERS IN EGYPT
ISRAEL WANTS MUBARAK TOPPLED
MUBARAK SUPPORTERS
ISRAEL'S PLANS FOR EGYPT
EGYPT - LOOK AT THE PATTERN
Q & A ON EGYPT REVOLT
EGYPT - THE NEW IRAQ?
WHO CONTROLS THE EGYPTIAN MILITARY? HISTORY OF MAN...
US BACKS EGYPTIAN COUP
WHAT THE USA REALLY THINKS ABOUT EGYPT
CIA, MOSSAD & SOROS VERSUS MUBARAK
THE PUZZLING CASE OF MOROCCO
