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Pakistan is failed state number 9 from the bottom (2008). It has an unofficial population of 180 million. It lives on IMF, and Gulf Arab financial handouts. Its elite is made of 500 Zamindar/Tamindar big land owning families who acquired their position during British colonial rule. Their money and wealth is mainly in Swiss bank accounts, or London, or NY. Their children are sent abroad to these countries living exclusive jet set lives that are completely disconnected to ordinary Pakistanis. Indeed an inordinate amount of their time is spent abroad.
There is in addition 30 "commercial" families who owe their wealth not to land but commerce and industry. They too invest their money in Switzerland, London and NY. Their children are sent abroad to these countries living exclusive jet set lives that are completely disconnected to ordinary Pakistanis. Indeed an inordinate amount of their time is spent abroad.
Conducting business in Pakistan is mightily peculiar as with much else, and one must have certain gangster characteristics in order to make it to the big league of business in Pakistan. That is why Zardari is one of the richest men in Pakistan, amassing billions of $, ...............................without doing any REAL business in the first place. That is why the great business houses of Pakistan only generate $18 billion worth of exports for the entire nation of 180 million (2008). Of course with exports you have to compete with normal businesses around the world..........and whilst gangsterism and muscle power might work for you inside Pakistan, illegally acquiring your wealth, it won't help you much in the rest of the world.
Finally there is the Pakistan military officially 650,000 strong, unofficially 800,000, backed by 300,000 paramilitary. The ISI created by the departing British in 1948 as an instrument of British post-colonial control is part of the Pakistan military and is operated by the Pakistan military personnel. All its heads are senior Pakistani generals. Obviously with such numbers, and the actual fact of Pakistani history the Pakistan military is the most powerful political force in Pakistani politics whether in actual power or in reserve waiting in the wings, destabilising civilian governments.
When the Pakistan military actually come to power they form alliances with the Zamindari/Tamindar and commercial groups and a select group of technocrats from the bureaucracy to actually run the country. The military generals are not particularly sophisticated........................with basic university education, and one thinks of Zia ul Haq who seemed with his demeanor the standard Punjabi village sardar, rather than the head of a large military machine. In short the generals themselves don't have the actual capacity to run Pakistan alone, and require the assistance of technocrats..............more so now with Pakistan's multiple geostrategic problems, internal political problems, and finally no less socio-economic problems. Pakistan's population will reach 400 million by 2050, so the demographic and ALL other pressures will bear down hard on Pakistan in the years to come. Things will not get any easier.
To confound the above problems of Pakistan, the country is cursed by the Americans and British, two nations who take a great negative interest in the failed state. The Americans overtly, and the British in their usual sly covert manner. Because of this "interest" from Pakistan's "friends", Pakistan in alliance with its elite fails as a nation...................this has been the unmistakable pattern of the tragic nations 61 years of history.
The Pakistani elite is bastardized and corrupt, and has never shown any inclination to really work for Pakistan. It will never change. ZA Bhutto who came from this group, was no better. His language and slogan was all about the poor man, but in the sum total of things when all is said and done he was nothing but an egotistical self centered rabble rouser, who never actually constructively governed Pakistan for its betterment.........a man who sacrificed one part of the country in order to attain supreme power over the other.
The Pakistani military is bastardized and corrupt, and has never shown any inclination to really work for Pakistan. Its supreme focus has been fixed for it by the British against India, NOTHING ELSE. It will never change............it is currently helping the Americans kill Pakistani civilians in a bogus Zionist/Jewish security war, using Pakistani military bases........the surreal absurdity of it all. They probably even know the bogus nature of their operations in Pakistan.
So what Pakistan needs is a revolution against the elite. They need to be removed just like India 1948. They are an anti-state traitor class. The majority of people, educated and uneducated understand this, and so this popular national sentiment needs to be translated into political action, soon.
In addition the Pakistan military needs to be challenged. The standard phrase is that the 2 A's run Pakistan....the army and America. Or the joke I heard from a fellow Pakistani Barrister student in 1999, at Lincoln's Inn, "Why isn't there any coups in America? Because there isn't any American embassy there." Therefore in order to neutralize the two, the following must be done........closing of all JEWUSA bases in Pakistan; their advisers military and intelligence ejected; the consulates and maybe for a while their embassies closed.......a complete disconnection with the JEWUSA, and of course the quiet sly UK.
There after, after the peoples revolution, Pakistan needs to form new alliances with other Asian countries like China and India.
Only then can we begin to think of some sort of rational logical state policies that help the Pakistani people into a reasonable stable prosperous Third World nation that meets the basic needs of the vast majority of Pakistani people.
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Cornering the Nuclear-Pawed Cat
By Talha Mujaddidi of Axis of Logic Exclusive
President Obama has said that Al-Qaeda has strongholds in Tribal Areas of Pakistan and from there they are planning to attack US. He also mentioned that the US plans to expand its ‘war on terror’ inside Pakistan. This statement of Obama coincided with another statement and that, from terrorist number one. No it’s not Osama! Current terrorist number one is Baitullah Mehsud. Mehsud is based in Tribal areas of Pakistan. (For more info on Mehsud and related news read two of my older articles on Axis of Logic, Playing with Fire in Pakistan, and Now or Never. Pakistan must change its policy in war on terror).
("al-Qaeda" does not exist but is a fake phantom organization, and according to the FBI official website, OBL did not carry out 9/11......which translated legally should also mean defacto that if the head of al-Qaeda did not plan, order, and carry out 9/11, then his organization real or imaginary did not carry out 9/11 logically. Which would explain why he was allegedly killed in late 2001, to prevent him giving his side of the story. Which would explain why the greater number of Gitmo inmates have subsequently been released without charge, and the rest are not being charged in a normal court of law......there's simply no case against them. They are merely being held as showcase trophies indefinitely, illegally.
Therefore in relation to Pakistan, America should not be pursuing "al-Qaeda" IN PAKISTAN, if it constitutes no threat to America and it did not carry out 9/11 in the first place, and America after 8 years has not offered comprehensive proof to anybody that "al-Qaeda" actually carried out 9/11. But the basic essence of their foreign policy and wars in Iraq and Afghanistan is based on this fact.
That the foreign jehadis in FATA Pakistan who are not members of "al-Qaeda' because "al-Qaeda" is a fake intelligence front organization. In addition if the FBI by not charging and pursuing OBL are stating indirectly that "al-Qaeda" did not carry out 9/11, then ultimately these foreign jehadis a few hundred in number and who do not claim to be "al-Qaeda" pose no real threat to the USA.
There is a dispute as to how many foreign jehadis are operating in FATA Pakistan......according to Rehman Malik 4,000, according to others just a few hundred. Whether its 4,000 or a few hundred, they don't constitute a real threat to the USA, as stated above, and should not be the basis of the USA waging and expanding their war into sovereign Pakistan territory.
That the American military due to their Jewish political overlords wage war on false pretenses is no surprise---------after all they stated that Iraq's Saddam had WMD's which could be deployed against America within 45 minutes, and Saddam was working hand in hand with Osama Bin Laden and "al-Qaeda"................on this Jew lie through America alone, 1.2 million Iraqis have since died, from 2003, after the American "liberation". 4 million Iraqi refugees...and the country divided into three ethnic parts.
The question for Pakistan is how many Jew lies must the Pakistan military top brass accept against Pakistan, and how many Pakistani civilians must be killed to sustain the Jew lies against Pakistan? ...........there is no leveling off at the bottom in order to satisfy the Jew lies, it continues on and on, and on, until millions of Pakistanis are killed, the country divided into ethnic enclaves (divide and conquer--------set the Punjabi army against Pashtuns, and be as stupid and provocative as possible), and the Pakistan nukes secured for Israel.
The American's will stay in Iraq until more millions of Iraqis are killed for their Jewish overlords bloodlust.
General Kiyani and Suja Pasha appointed by American embassy insistence and Ann Patterson will follow American orders. They may even have Swiss bank accounts, as do many in the top echelon of the Pakistan military. To be a Pakistani general these days is to be a guaranteed millionaire with $10-50 million assets in Pakistan and abroad, declared and undeclared.
These generals, some of whom sport beards and go regularly to pray at the mosque, are not real soldiers, not real Pak Muslims, but criminals, hustlers, traitors who are killing Pakistani civilians for the Jew, using Pakistani military bases.
These generals, some of whom sport beards and go regularly to pray at the mosque, are not real soldiers, not real Pak Muslims, but criminals, hustlers, traitors who are killing Pakistani civilians for the Jew, based on fake Jew stories which they support and uphold as the supreme truth. They take the side of the Jew, against the wishes and sympathy and desires of the overall Pakistani people.
For Pakistan Baitullah Mehsud is an irrelevant side show, an elaborate cover story which explains the destabilization programs against Pakistan by the ISI, and Americans.
What is most important for Pakistan is to focus on the top brass of the Pakistan military and how they perform for and against Pakistan, with America and Israel. Ultimately that's what matters.
Will they side with the ordinary Pakistani people, or with the JEWUSA?
Of course there was another US drone attack in Orakzai agency of the Tribal areas of Pakistan and some innocent people were killed but for some reasons unknown to anyone, the US drone handlers weren’t able to target Osama or Mehsud. It may have something to do with the fact that they really don’t even know where Osama is (or if he is even alive). All we know is that Al-Qaeda is able to send video/audio tapes to Aljazeera based in Qatar. Hold on one minute - isn’t Qatar the same place where CENTCOM is located with a billion dollar complex? Yes folks, it’s the same place but somehow Al-Qaeda is able to bypass their sophisticated electronics and get their video tapes broadcast on Aljazeera.
(Osama Bin Ladin died in late 2001, alledly killed by Umer Sheikh so that Osama could not give too many interviews saying that he did not carry out 9/11. The subsequent videos of him since late 2003 are thus fake..............another Jew lie. Is it not amazing that we do not have at least one current video of him moving around in the open for several minutes, since 2001?)
This is just too much for even the most naive political reader and news follower to accept. All the truth requires in this case is good, old fashioned common sense. Any common soul can ponder on the fact that there is something fishy going on here - not just fishy but also sinister.
And please don’t give place to the tired old words “conspiracy theory”. They no longer work. If it walks like duck and quacks like a duck … you know the rest. This is a matter of the US working to drive its old ally, Pakistan, into a corner. Pakistan was the country that allowed US to station its U-2 spy plane in Peshawar, Pakistan to spy on Soviet Russia. Pakistan was the country that started back channel diplomacy between China and US, something that Bill Clinton had to acknowledge in 2000 when he was in Pakistan for a lengthy five hour tour. (This shows the importance US gave to Pakistan between 1989 and September 10th 2001. Clinton spent 5 days in India, Pakistan’s arch nemesis). Pakistan was the country that the CIA turned to when they fought the Soviets, of course the U.S., themselves, didn’t fight. They asked ISI to train, equip and make battle plans for the ‘mujahedeen’, against Soviets. Once the Soviets got their Vietnam, US simply moved away, and slapped sanctions on Pakistan for continuing its nuclear program. As Hugo Chavez once said, “The U.S. disposes of its allies like used condoms.” It’s ok for US, UK, China, France, Russia, India and Israel to have nuclear weapons but it’s not ok for Pakistan or Iran to have nukes.
(Or as Henry Kissinger said it is more dangerous to be a friend of America than be its enemy.
This is how America behaves towards many Third World nations not just Pakistan. I would characterize this as specifically Jewish behavior rather then genuine American behavior........................I am sure normal Americans serving in their state institutions see the value and sense of cultivating good relations with poor nations for long term strategic, economic and political reasons............South Korea with the USA for example, where the USA has invested heavily in many spheres, and whilst the USA has interfered in South Korean affairs through the military, it has not been severely adverse as in many other countries. Could you really imagine the USA backing shady characters like Zardari onto South Korea as President?........for them South Korea is too important.
However unfortunately for Pakistan the country is not that important for America, and can be used and discarded as and when they wish. In addition what extenuates the Jewish dimension and interest in Pakistan negatively is that it is a Muslim country in the Greater Middle East.
Finally it is a Muslim country in the Greater Middle East, which is a nuclear power, and due to the actions of the Pakistan military, favors pan-Islamism.
For these reasons American Jews take a negative interest in the country, and think how they can destroy the country through America and India more recently. For This reason America was never an "old ally" of Pakistan, but merely through time and money buying influence into the country, in order to control it for the Jew.
This analysis should have been grasped by the elite strategists and leaders from the 1960's certainly after 1965, when America started destabilizing the Ayub Khan regime, but unfortunately this lesson was/is never learned, and so the nation goes through the same problem again and again.
Further I take issue with the idea that Pakistan was an old CONTINUOUS ally, towards whom by implication America and Pakistan were mutually beneficial. More like a master and much abused servant, thats why Ayub khan penned a book in the late sixties, "Friends not Masters", do you recall, obviously speaking from direct experience and pleading pathetically. Lets go through the time line Mujaddidi sahib.
It starts in 1954, the $1 billion American aid and Pakistan joining CENTO. Clearly the Pakistan military are the main tools for all this, as they are in Indonesia and other Third World countries like Panama. Civilian governments destabilized and subverted from 1954--58, until the military eventually come to power with American blessing. The military rule, and wage war against India using the American supplied arms in 1965. The USA imposes an arms embargo, and begin destabilizing the Ayub Khan military regime from 1965 until his fall in 1969. We may say that at least for the Pakistan military and poor old Ayub, the USA was not acting as an "old ally" during that time 1965--69.
Then we have Yahya Khan and the tragedy of 1971...................where the Pakistan military slaughtered 3,000,000 East Pakistanis in order to save the country. Overtly the Americans supported Pakistan through meaningless gesture politics with an aircraft carier in the Bay of Bengal, but covertly they accepted the Indian terms of attack against East Pakistan, and provided no real material or diplomatic assistance to Pakistan in its hour of need.
1972--77, Bhutto who adopted superficially an independent position for Pakistan, and he was toppled by the military with American backing...............was this an act of an "old ally"?. For civilian politicians no, but for the military yes. Then into the 1980's with some military assistance from the USA, and artificial stability through the military, and the introduction of Sharia law into Pakistani society; the arming of the mujaheddin through "Operation Cyclone".....and the creation of proxy fundamentalist forces within Pakistani society by the Pakistani military.........was this ALL the act of an "old ally"? .............................Yes maybe for the military macho men, but not for the vast majority of Pakistani civilians, especially Shia......and so on, and son on.
1) There is an inconsistent perception within Pakistani strategists that the USA is an old ally, 2) That Pakistan should be friends with the USA usually because of foreign aid, 3) That all this is in Pakistan's long term interests, 4) that Pakistan as a faithful servant of the USA who has done a lot for the USA, which naturally the Americans will appreciate and reciprocate, 5) and that ordinary hardworking honest Pakistanis want this to be so......i.e. maintaining good relations with the USA is more important than anything else.
Here there is a fundamental disconnect between the corrupt compromised elite of Pakistan and ordinary Pakistanis, that requires a fundamental over haul.
The point is that after using Pakistan conveniently for the last forty years or more, the time has now come for the US to ditch Pakistan completely. Hence the US has given Pakistan the option to tow its line completely or “the stick” – to accept responsiblity for what happens in future. Hint-hint, is another 9/11 in the making somewhere in West?
(Well what did you expect from the JEWUSA? Tea, sympathy and understanding? Obviously the JEUSA is making threats against Pakistan about terrorist acts in the USA which will be blamed on Pakistan......via Baitullah Mehsud I presume, but the correct and courageous thing to do in the face of such JEWUSA threats is ignore them, and do the right thing by Pakistan..........Stop using the Pakistan army to wage war against the FATA Pashtuns.....stop facilitating drone attacks against the FATA Pashtuns from Pakistani bases.....close American bases in Pakistan...eject their military and security advisors...stop taking their military aid......clarify to the world that OBL is dead....debunk the al-Qaeda myth........reorientate away from the JEWUSA, AND develop closer relations with China or even India.
Its no good moaning and moaning year after year, and following the same old failed JEWUSA policies where the end game is the final destruction of Pakistan.)
The US is pressurizing the Pakistan Army and ISI to throw aside Pakistan’s national interests and blindly do its dirty work inside their own country and in the region.
(As a Pakistani citizen your priority is to focus on and question the loyalty and intentions of the top Pakistani military brass.....thats what you've got to do)
In addition, ignore for a moment the US expansion of war into Pakistan. It gets better. The US has advised the Pakistan Army to disclaim India as enemy number one, not to focus on India in the future and to change its defense policy. How can anyone in their right mind expect the Pakistan Army and ISI to accept US demands, when they have concrete evidence of Indian support from Afghanistan for terrorist groups inside Pakistan? India, in clear violation of 1962 Indus River Water Treaty, has stopped water flow from Kashmir (Chenab River), into Pakistan causing severe water crisis, which will increase sharply in the coming dry months. How can the US expect Pakistan Army and ISI to shove these issues aside?
(It can be done. It maybe wise. India unlike the JEWUSA is not a proactive power, or an aggressive power (relative terms)...........Pakistan initiates wars against India, and India finishes them, no more 1948, 1965, 1971, 1999. There fore to secure the Eastern part and focus on the Western part of the country where things are really happening a major reorientation of Pakistani defense policy might be in order. How stupid it would be if the vast majority of the Pakistan armed forces are stationed against India still, and the Americans with the UK, and NATO invade from the West. I have suggested that a final peace deal to legalise the LoC , and an FTA between the two countries might clear misunderstanding and unwarranted meaningless geostrategic posturing between the two nations.
India only does what she does in Afghanistan with the approval of the USA. Afghanistan is under USA control, and we see how the Americans reacted when the British tried to build bridges to certain sections of the Afghan Taliban.
The Jew prennially using proxies want to use the USA, and India againt Pakistan, but Pakistan if the country is smart can avoid this twin jeopardy. )
Veteran journalist and Pakistan expert, Eric Margolis has penned some telling lines in his new article, Is Pakistan Really Double Dealing? -
“Pakistan’s premier intelligence agency, Inter-Service Intelligence (ISI), has been secretly aiding Taliban and its allies in both Afghanistan and Pakistan. So charged the ‘New York Times’ in a front-page story last week that was clearly planted by the Obama administration. In 2003, the ‘NY Times’ severely damaged its once stellar reputation by serving as a primary conduit for fake war propaganda put out by the Bush administration over Iraq. The ‘Times’ is now beating the war drums for more US military operations against Pakistan”.
Margolis continues,
“ISI is not playing a double game, as Washington charges, but simply assuring Pakistan’s strategic and political interests in the region. Anyway, who are the Americans, who supplied Taliban with millions in aid until four month before 9/11, to criticize Pakistan for its choice of friends.”
(Margolis is a Canadain Jew, who projects himself as an alternative media analyst. He has close relations with the ISI since the 1980's, and may be working for Canadian intelligence.
So he has let the cat out of the bag, whilst maintaining that Pakistan's ISI is not double dealing. Tell me if Pakistan takes $12 billion of security and economic aid from Washington from 2001, on the clear understanding that Pakistan is on America's side fighting "Islamic terrorism", handing over 650 "al-Qaeda", conducting ops in FATA, BUT keeps open channels with the Afghan Taliban who then go and kill American troops...................what is the English word for this? What Margolis has done is kick a friend with a smile.
I have done the same with the ISI, not to defend them as a "friend" with a smile, but to highlight their mistaken policies in the hope that they might finally see the error of their ways, and because I believe the organistion is harming the overall Pakistani society.)
This Pakistani political analyst expects the new Obama plan to be worse than that of Bush, and predict more violence inside Pakistan.
(They need to project Pakistan as a failed state before they can invade it. Zardari and the terrorist ops inside Pakistan are part of that overall destabilisation project for Pakistan)
“Pakistan would be reduced to a battlefield if our leadership accedes to Obama’s strategy,” commented Rustam Shah Mohmand, former interior secretary, former ambassador to Afghanistan and a top security expert.
(YES--------put the man in charge!)
Former Fata secretary Brig (retd) Mehmud Shah is of the view these are testing times for political as well as military leaders, who are expected to defend Pakistan against the sinister Zionist conspiracy to destabilize and denuclearize Pakistan.
( Well Brigadier Yaar its only a testing time if you are indecisive, corrupt, and you are fondling the Jew $, and not thinking clearly. Get all the corps commanders, and aboves together. Order some Muglai Biriyani, Chicken Dopiaza, and some larsi. After the meal state the problem clearly, and make the decision clearly: do the right thing by the Pakistani people and nation..........Stop using the Pakistan army to wage war against the FATA Pashtuns.....stop facilitating drone attacks against the FATA Pashtuns from Pakistani bases.....close American bases in Pakistan...eject their military and security advisors...stop taking their military aid......clarify to the world that OBL is dead....debunk the al-Qaeda myth........reorientate away from the JEWUSA, AND develop closer relations with China or even India. Then do namaz together with a clear and hearty conscience........bass)
The US is dealing with Pakistan on three different levels.
- The first is their secret dealing with President Zardari and his special advisors. Just recently Zardari was in Dubai meeting with Richard Holbrooke, and Zalmay Khalilzad under a media blackout. Today, the meeting came to light on Gulf News.
- The second is their relationship with the central government of Pakistan.
- The third is the relationship with Pakistan army and the ISI.
It’s the third tier that is most important and that’s where the frustration is centered at the moment for the US. The Pakistan Army and ISI are simply not willing to go against Pakistan’s national interest as Zardari and his government are doing at the moment.
(False disinformation! Zardari's been in power for about 6 whole months, and his primary motivation is making money and looking after number 1 and not venturing into security matters.................thats Kiyani's area and Suja Pasha. So painting Zardari as the ONLY and real villian in this sad saga just lacks credibility. Zardari clearly is not some machiavelli character who is running rings around the Pakistan military, and their Western advisors, clearly not, NOT in 6 months, not even if he was in power for several years.We see his performance against Sharif recently where he surrendered on all points.
The current injustice against the Pakistan people sovereignty and security wise falls squarely on the Pakistan army......Kiyani and Suja Pasha....the 2 A's in Pakistani society)
The US would like to expand its war into Pakistan’s largest province, Baluchistan. Baluchistan is strategically located East of Iran and to the South of Afghanistan. It has a port at Gwadar that was built by China. Gwadar lies at the opening of Strait of Hurmoz. Baluchistan has huge quantities of natural gas, and unexplored oil reserves. More importantly US want to control the port of Gwadar, and eventually start their dream oil pipeline from Central Asia, through Afghanistan into Baluchistan and Gwadar.
Expanding the war into Pakistan will further inflame the public opinion against U.S. foreign policy. The weak Pakistan government will be under more pressure to change its policy towards the “war on terror”. Already there is a huge difference between public opinion on the war on terror and Zardari’s views. The U.S. media has painted a picture that extremist and conservative parties or groups in Pakistan are against US foreign policy and that they represent a small minority of Pakistanis. This is not the case. The vast majority of the Pakistani population is strongly opposed to the “war on terror”. (Quite correct)President Obama says on television that the U.S. will continue drone attacks in Pakistan and continue to expand “our” war on terror” into Pakistan territory. He says, “but I want to the people of Pakistan to know we are not the enemy of the Pakistan nation”.
(If American destabilization policy is killing Pakistanis; waging war for America in Pakistan is killing Pakistanis; US drone attacks are killing Pakistanis.....what exactly is the Americans doing if not waging a kind of "El Salvador option" against the Pakistani people)
Perhaps the 1% elite class, dual passport holders (mostly US, UK, Canada) in Pakistan will cooperate with the Obama regime, but the 99% people of Pakistan will simply not accept this rhetoric. The 600,000 Pakistani troops and 500,000 reservists are from that 99% majority and not from the 1% elite. That is the point that the policy makers in the US think tanks can’t seem to understand. There are many experts and authors writing reports on Pakistan who have never visited troubled areas here and who have no interaction with the people. Last year, under pressure from the U.S. military chiefs and the Bush regime, the Pakistan government replaced the head of the ISI and gave its command to General Ahmed Pasha. Sadly for the U.S., Pasha has not delivered as the U.S. expected. I hope they didn’t select Pasha for the post just based on his name, because other than his name he shares nothing with obedient the Pashas of the dying Ottoman Empire. (Pasha is actually a title given by Ottoman Empire to people who were favorites of the ruling elite).
(Well as things stand the Americans are getting their way, via the Pakistan military. The crucial crunch will come when the situation gets worse in a few months under Zardari...........in the long hot summer)
After the “who dunnit” terrorist attack at the Lahore police training center, Pakistan is under severe pressure from the US and its allies for ‘doing more’ against terrorism in Pakistan. Nawaz, on the other hand, is chumming up to the U.S. more than ever. He will visit the U.S. embassy in Islamabad next week to discuss future role that US might have for him. As I mentioned previously in my dispatches, Nawaz is close to Clinton family.
(I don't expect Sharif to work miracles for Pakistan but he has to be better than Zardari..........that he has to go to the American embassy to get annointed does not bode well for Pakistan clearly historically speaking. The Lahore attacks were the work of elements of the ISI with close linkages to Musharaf and a warning to Sharif)
The million dollar question to think about is what happens when the U.S. corners Pakistan? Will Pakistan go down like Iraq, ravaged with civil wars, daily bombings, and extreme sectarian divide? Pakistan has at least 170 million people to begin with, and nuclear weapons. Will Pakistan just let go of its nuclear weapons? Will the Army sit in barracks and watch the country plunge into civil war? What will become of the people - 170 million strong?
(Pakistan as you say has 170 million people, but more probably closer to 180 million, of which about 60 million live in densely packed cities. About 5-10 million Pakistanis have private arms, and unlike Iraq most ethnic groups live in their own states....Baluchis live in Baluchistan, Pashtuns in the NWFP, Punjabis in Punjab and Sindhis in Sindh, so it will be difficult to divide and conquer.
Inshallah ordinary Pakistanis are also up for a good fight if it comes their way, and their army desert them as in Iraq where the senior officers were bought by the Americans, since unlike the Iraqis and Afghans, Pakistanis have not been worn down by war.
The Pakistan military if it does decide to fight for Pakistan finally and properly (defending is always easier than attacking) then it can can mobilise between 1.5 to 2 million men, backed by nuclear arms, and the limitless supply of China the greatest industrial power in the world. So focusing on the armed forces should be number one priority for patriotic Pakistanis, questioning its allegience to American security policies, and finding out which of the senior officers are in the pay of America and have bought a safe house around Washington DC.
This would be the reason the Americans are providing greater lip service to India. So for this reason Pakistan should attempt genuinely to make friends with India, legalise the LoC, and sign an FTA. Pakistan destabilisation and occupation by foreign troops will create huge problems for India, as a super failed state.)
Another question remains about whether the U.S. will send in ground troops if Pakistan Army and ISI refuse to fight “terrorists” in tribal areas of Pakistan. Is Obama ready to spend billions more in fighting the “war on terror”? Will we see India sending its troops into Afghanistan to support US and NATO troops? The basic rule of nature is that there is an equal and opposite reaction to every action. The Pakistan Army and ISI have no doubt been a long ally of Pentagon and the CIA. But when the existence of ISI and Pakistan Army itself is under threat, they just might decide to change their alliances. Will Pakistan Army start supporting Taliban in Afghanistan again in order to divert the U.S. war expansion from Pakistan back into Afghanistan? Uncle Sam must remember that China too has a big stake in Pakistan. The Pakistan Army has the same level of strategic partnership with its Chinese counterpart as they have with the Americans. The only difference is that there are no secrets between China and Pakistan. According to Sun Tzu, the art of war is to defeat your enemy without fighting! This is surely something that the U.S. should remember and the fact that no invading army has ever returned victorious from Afghanistan. Hence this surge theory of Obama is rubbish to say the least. “Only fools rush in.”
(Yes this is all very well, but how is the Americans to be persuaded otherwise. The Americans are making a hefty profit from the Afghan narcotics.....and after 8 years of occupation are showing no inclination to leave, in fact quite the opposite. This is all wishful thinking.
The best thing to do rather than speculate about Afghanistan is create safety nets for Pakistan first....and then work from there. Pakistan can say no to America and survive with alliances with China and India. OK if you want to be really creative get rid of the Americans and station Chinese troops in Pakistan first, and Chinese warships in Gwadar. Make peace with India, FTA 's with India, and then face the Americans with their nefarious designs on Pakistan.)
