Iran to produce 55 million tons of steel by 2025, Inshallah!
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Iran boosts steel output, exports in bid to buffer impact of sanctions
By Reuters, Daily Times of Pakistan and Infowars.com
Iran is increasing steel exports and courting foreign investors in an
ambitious bid to quadruple steel output in a decade and replace at least
a small part of the massive revenue it loses due to sanctions on its
oil sales.
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A developing economy heavily reliant on construction, the
Islamic Republic exported an average of 1.35 million tonnes of steel in
2011 and 2012, according to a presentation by Iran’s top steelmaker,
Mobarakeh Steel.
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By contrast it exported 1.26 million tonnes of steel
during the first seven months of this year, data from the Iran Steel
Producers Association (ISPA) showed.
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“Due to the fast expansion of
the local production in recent years, Iran has a surplus of rebars,
billets, IPE (I-beams) and other similar sections,” said Bahador
Ahramian, a member of the ISPA’s board.
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The bulk of Iran’s steel
exports go to the Middle East and north Africa, and can involve barter
deals or funds deposited in non-Western banks to circumvent sanctions.
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Iran
was never barred from selling steel under sanctions imposed by the
United States and the European Union over its disputed nuclear
programme. But financial restrictions banning banks from processing
dollar payments for Iran deals have made trade difficult.
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Tehran says
its nuclear programme is peaceful and has decried western sanctions
widely blamed for weakening its currency and shrinking its economy.
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Iran’s steel sector pales in comparison to oil, one of the main parts of its economy targetted by sanctions.
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The
value of crude oil sales Iran loses each month from sanctions is
estimated at nearly $4 billion. By contrast, Iran’s steel exports to
July this year would be worth some $6.3 billion, based on current
prices.
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But Javad Ardalan, director of Iran Trade and Investment, a
London-based consultancy with offices in Tehran, said the additional
revenue is important, as it insulates the steel sector from sanctions by
making it self-sufficient.
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“Steel and iron ore is a strategic
industry for Iran. If there isn’t enough steel in the country the
construction industry will grind to a halt and another 50 or so related
industries will be hurt. It will cause huge unemployment,” said Ardalan.
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Iran
produced 10.64 million tonnes of crude steel in the first eight months
of this year, up 6.9 percent on the same period last year and nearly
triple the 2.4 percent average global growth rate, data from the World
Steel Association shows.
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That increase still leaves the country well
short of its plan to boost steel output to 55 million tonnes a year by
2025, of which 10 million tonnes would be earmarked for export.
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“That
plan is going under strategic review and will probably have to be
adjusted, because of marketing, infrastructure and many other aspects
involved,” said ISPA’s Ahramian.
Attempts to contact Iranian authorities were unsuccessful.
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Industry
experts say the 55 million tonne target is vulnerable if Tehran’s
negotiations with global powers to end the standoff over its nuclear
programme fail and the country’s economy remains crippled by sanctions.
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Still
they concede that even in this worst-case scenario, Iran’s steel
industry will continue to grow, with its exports adding to the global
glut of steel, and helping further depress prices.
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Tehran is leaving
no stone unturned in bolstering the sector. In August, it withdrew the
special rate foreign exchange allocation for all steel imports except
flat products in a bid to further boost local production.
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In addition, it is courting foreign steelmakers to invest in a host of new steel complexes.
According
to a press statement from Iran’s deputy minister of industry, mines and
trade, Mehdi Karbasian, the country signed an agreement with Kuwait
Steel in June to build a new complex with 1 million tonnes of rolling
capacity.
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Karbasian also said in a separate statement that up to 37
“prominent” foreign firms have expressed readiness to co-operate in
Iran’s mine and mining industries sector since the summer, although he
declined to name them.
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For western companies, however, readiness to
do business with Iran is still largely contingent upon the success of
its nuclear negotiations with global powers. German steel mill equipment
maker SMS Siemag, for example, told Reuters it is prepared to supply
Iranian steel companies, but declined to say whether it is actually
doing so at the moment.
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For Iran’s other trade partners, such as
Ukraine, Russia, Turkey, China and South Korea, which never completely
stopped supplying steel to Tehran due to sanctions, the country’s
increasing self sufficiency means, if anything, a loss of sales.